Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.036897 3.505528 4.023623 4.639112 5.350748 6.148163 7.110202
2024-11-03 2.471877 3.099776 3.853856 4.827175 6.051966 7.544534 9.505487
2024-11-10 2.105719 2.838483 3.784453 5.097520 6.877424 9.212846 12.521345
2024-11-17 1.774494 2.551359 3.621153 5.206081 7.502958 10.724047 15.608750
2024-11-24 1.496215 2.280115 3.424385 5.222685 7.991648 12.116889 18.773423
2024-12-01 1.231626 1.978366 3.127487 5.032817 8.132928 13.013273 21.348058
2024-12-08 1.019220 1.717791 2.845908 4.810499 8.172917 13.741236 23.761345
2024-12-15 0.904149 1.593949 2.759368 4.884583 8.699065 15.324545 27.849915
2024-12-22 0.778692 1.430927 2.579792 4.766007 8.866701 16.311459 31.046238
2024-12-29 0.730892 1.397568 2.619775 5.042748 9.784321 18.767428 37.352058
2025-01-05 0.675224 1.340179 2.605845 5.213447 10.524086 20.997802 43.591994
2025-01-12 0.611888 1.257778 2.531299 5.251958 11.005332 22.790916 49.241359
2025-01-19 0.523613 1.114770 2.322328 4.997707 10.873447 23.378098 52.584764
2025-01-26 0.491488 1.083808 2.337384 5.218081 11.789892 26.323618 61.662734
2025-02-02 0.468979 1.070098 2.386886 5.522454 12.945817 29.990026 73.096073
2025-02-09 0.434598 1.024368 2.359332 5.647804 13.713329 32.907071 83.310876
2025-02-16 0.397081 0.965429 2.292848 5.670641 14.240846 35.348638 92.820812
2025-02-23 0.350211 0.876753 2.143432 5.467100 14.174752 36.330504 98.762096
2025-03-02 0.307512 0.791662 1.989728 5.226999 13.972739 36.930500 103.788661
2025-03-09 0.286755 0.759186 1.961845 5.308750 14.634118 39.894022 115.939895
2025-03-16 0.258103 0.701652 1.861437 5.180378 14.702312 41.274186 123.833061
2025-03-23 0.251420 0.702264 1.913936 5.482119 16.031389 46.385410 143.808798
2025-03-30 0.240084 0.688261 1.924915 5.668283 17.059947 50.818203 162.613695